Link: Prophecies of the Flood - by Ethan Mollick

Recent shifts in AI have sparked increased discourse about the immediate emergence of supersmart AI systems. Prominent research labs predict imminent changes to society due to advanced Artificial General Intelligence (AGI).

Insiders have vested interests that may skew their bold claims about near-term advancements in AI technologies. Their predictions could be overly optimistic, similar to other historical technology forecasts that fell short.

Assertions of rapid AGI development might overestimate societal and organizational adaptability. Even if AGI were to be realized soon, the practical integration and utilization could lag significantly.

Public benchmarks and tech demonstrations suggest that significant AI capabilities may indeed be on the horizon. This emerging evidence supports the idea that we might be nearing a pivotal shift in AI potential.

The introduction of new AI models and "reasoner" systems highlights substantial progress, as seen with OpenAI's latest innovations. These developments signal advances in AI's problem-solving and cognitive abilities that challenge previous barriers.

Handling this surge in AI capabilities requires foresight and careful planning from a broad range of societal stakeholders. It's crucial to understand and shape the deployment of AI to ensure it serves as a constructive force.

 #

--

Yoooo, this is a quick note on a link that made me go, WTF? Find all past links here.